Thursday, 10 January 2013

Weekend Betting – 12.01.2013 – (3 singles, 1 double and a treble. 10 points at stake)

So here we go then, the Falcon’s first Premier League tips.
We don’t want to be like those other tipster’s who provide about 20 tips then when they hit a treble they boast about bashing bookies. At the end of the day if you throw enough shit, something will stick.
This is about thoughtful, concise betting that aims to lower your risk too. Steady profit is the key.
5 bets this weekend, 3 singles a double and a treble. I’ve calculated a suggested stake (£55) so to minimise your risk further.
The suggested stake is based on all 5 bets and is calculated so that if you match the Chelsea tip or any 2 of the 3 singles you’re in PROFIT!!
It’s a lower risk lower return approach but if we hit all 3 tips then over 5 bets you’ll win £143 (£88 profit).
£5 on QPR v Spurs – BTTS @8/13      2 points
£5 on Villa v Southampton – Over 2.5 goals @4/5      2 points
£10 on Double @3/1   2 points
£30 on Stoke v Chelsea – Away win @10/11  3 points
£5 on Treble @5/1       1 point
The points are ranked 1-5. The greater the number, the greater the tip. Points are based on a £10 per point system and will act as a guide to the winnings accumulated.
The Logic?
Game 1 – EARLY KO
QPR and Spurs is a huge fixture for Harry Redknapp. The fashion of his departure from the Lane will mean he’ll have a belly full of fire for this one and after guiding Rangers to a shock win at Stamford Bridge last time around, QPR will fancy a result here too.
Spurs have immense quality going forward and I can’t see them not scoring. They’re flying after a bit of a wobbly start under AVB and now look a real threat for a top 4 finish this season.
With the Redknapp factor, and the Taarbt one for that, I fancy QPR to give them a game at Loftus Road and perhaps nick a result, therefore both teams to score looks like the best bet here for me.
1-1  is my prediction but I’m not hanging my hat on that one! 2 points for BTTS @8/13
Game 2
Villa and Southampton is a huge fixture in all its entirety, probably made a little bigger after Villa’s shock defeat at Valley Parade on Tuesday night.
Both sides are struggling and both need the 3 points here. These sorts of games can go two ways. Cagy 0-0ers or an all out gung ho goal fest.
Both of these sides score goals, there’s no problem in that department, the reason these sides languish in the lower echelons of the division is the simple fact that they can’t defend.
With that reasoning I’m suggesting goals and think backing the over 2.5 goals is the safest bet here.
2-1 is my prediction but backing Villa is a bit risky this season, so let’s reduce that risk. 2 points for Over 2.5 goals @4/5
Game 3
Stoke and Chelsea is a tricky one to call.
The Potters are solid at home, unbeaten in the league at the Britannia and Chelsea, reeling from their shock defeat to neighbours QPR last time out, are desperate for a result to rekindle a title charge.
I think this weekend is a massive one for Chelsea.
With Man United hosting Liverpool and Man City travelling to Arsenal, Rafa Benitez will see this as a big opportunity that something above the blues could give. The League Cup defeat to Swansea on Wednesday night has just added even more significance to this fixture for them too.
I would go as far to say that Chelsea’s season almost hinges on this game.
With the quality Chelsea possess going forward I fancy them to breech the Stoke backline. Demba Ba I’d expect to start and score. Behind Van Persie he is undoubtedly the best goal scoring striker in the league and his statue will embrace a good ding dong with Stoke rather than repent it.
It’ll be close but I fancy Chelsea to edge this and am backing an away win.
1-2  is my prediction. 3 points for the away win @10/11
Remember to bet responsibly and good luck!

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