So here we go
then, the Falcon’s first Premier League tips.
We don’t want to
be like those other tipster’s who provide about 20 tips then when they hit a
treble they boast about bashing bookies. At the end of the day if you throw
enough shit, something will stick.
This is about
thoughtful, concise betting that aims to lower your risk too. Steady profit is
the key.
5 bets this
weekend, 3 singles a double and a treble. I’ve calculated a suggested stake
(£55) so to minimise your risk further.
The suggested
stake is based on all 5 bets and is calculated so that if you match the Chelsea tip or any 2 of
the 3 singles you’re in PROFIT!!
It’s a lower risk
lower return approach but if we hit all 3 tips then over 5 bets you’ll win £143
(£88 profit).
£5 on QPR v Spurs
– BTTS @8/13 2 points
£5 on Villa v Southampton – Over 2.5 goals @4/5 2 points
£10 on Double @3/1 2
points
£30 on Stoke v Chelsea – Away win @10/11 3 points
£5 on Treble @5/1
1 point
The points are
ranked 1-5. The greater the number, the greater the tip. Points are based on a
£10 per point system and will act as a guide to the winnings accumulated.
The Logic?
Game 1 – EARLY KO
QPR and Spurs is a
huge fixture for Harry Redknapp. The fashion of his departure from the Lane
will mean he’ll have a belly full of fire for this one and after guiding
Rangers to a shock win at Stamford
Bridge last time around,
QPR will fancy a result here too.
Spurs have immense
quality going forward and I can’t see them not scoring. They’re flying after a
bit of a wobbly start under AVB and now look a real threat for a top 4 finish
this season.
With the Redknapp
factor, and the Taarbt one for that, I fancy QPR to give them a game at Loftus Road and
perhaps nick a result, therefore both teams to score looks like the best bet
here for me.
1-1 is my prediction but I’m not hanging my hat
on that one! 2 points for BTTS @8/13
Game 2
Villa and
Southampton is a huge fixture in all its entirety, probably made a little
bigger after Villa’s shock defeat at Valley Parade on Tuesday night.
Both sides are
struggling and both need the 3 points here. These sorts of games can go two
ways. Cagy 0-0ers or an all out gung ho goal fest.
Both of these
sides score goals, there’s no problem in that department, the reason these
sides languish in the lower echelons of the division is the simple fact that
they can’t defend.
With that
reasoning I’m suggesting goals and think backing the over 2.5 goals is the
safest bet here.
2-1 is my
prediction but backing Villa is a bit risky this season, so let’s reduce that
risk. 2 points for Over 2.5 goals @4/5
Game 3
Stoke and Chelsea is a tricky one
to call.
The Potters are
solid at home, unbeaten in the league at the Britannia and Chelsea, reeling
from their shock defeat to neighbours QPR last time out, are desperate for a
result to rekindle a title charge.
I think this
weekend is a massive one for Chelsea.
With Man United
hosting Liverpool and Man
City travelling to
Arsenal, Rafa Benitez will see this as a big opportunity that something above
the blues could give. The League Cup defeat to Swansea on Wednesday night has just added
even more significance to this fixture for them too.
I would go as far
to say that Chelsea’s
season almost hinges on this game.
With the quality Chelsea possess going
forward I fancy them to breech the Stoke backline. Demba Ba I’d expect to start
and score. Behind Van Persie he is undoubtedly the best goal scoring striker in
the league and his statue will embrace a good ding dong with Stoke rather than
repent it.
It’ll be close but
I fancy Chelsea
to edge this and am backing an away win.
1-2 is my prediction. 3 points for the away win
@10/11
Remember to bet
responsibly and good luck!