Tuesday, 29 January 2013

29.01.2013 – A double – 5 points at stake

Well what a horrendous weekend for us. Even though we attacked shyly due to it being FA Cup weekend, it could not have gone any worse.

Just to rub salt into the wounds, the initial bet of Rooney ANYTIME and a Man Utd win that we wanted to put on but then changed due to an injury scare, came in! Unbelievable.

Well it’s back to the Premier League now so let’s put it behind us and move on.

I have a cheeky little 2/1 double lined up for Tuesday to hopefully set us up in what can be a good week of betting.

If you just fancy one of the two then maybe our 3 pointer is for you? Two from two 3 pointers have come in thus far through our tips.

Stoke v Wigan                        under 2.5 goals @8/11            3 points

Sunderland v Swansea            BTTS @4/5                             2 points

The logic?

Stoke v Wigan

This is the 3 pointer, a bet we have a 100% record with. Let’s keep the 3 pointer in tact tonight!

Stoke and Wigan will be an intriguing one on Tuesday. Stoke, steady as you like with nobody thinking they’ll be in any sort of bother come May, take on a good footballing Wigan side that need some points from fortress Britannia.

Wigan will approach it with caution I think as if they concede one, it’s going to be very tough to overturn and win the game. Stoke are notoriously solid at home in the league and won’t give much away.

I think Wigan will be very compact in their approach and try to expand their play in the final third. This could well lead to a really tight affair.

I fancy Wigan to do ok but fear they’ll come up a little short. 1-1 at best but I’m predicting a narrow 1-0 home win. So the under 2.5 goals bet @8/11 Looks the best bet for me.

Sunderland v Swansea

Sunderland have frustrated their fans this season. With the calibre of manager they have, and some of their players for that matter, they should be doing a lot better, especially at home.

In town are a highly confident Swansea team, who in Michu boast one of the deadliest strikers in the league. You have to fancy Swansea to breech the home goal but its Sunderland who I think will do ok out of this one.

In Adam Johnson, Seb Larsson and Stephen Fletcher, Sunderland have goals in them and I think they’ll click into place in an exciting game.

3-1 Sunderland is my guess but even if they turn it on I can still see them conceding so let’s back BTTS at a very attractive @4/5

Good luck!

Thursday, 24 January 2013

Weekend Betting – 26.01.2013 – (1 treble and 1 double. 4 points at stake)

Its FA Cup week so we will attack this shyly as it’s not our home base of the Premier League. We are on a good run though so it’ll be daft not to have dabble now wouldn’t it?

The tips are all based on the Premier League clubs as a little safety strap for us.



Norwich City (H)

Arsenal (A)                                          @3.5/1             2 points


Norwich City to WIN and

Grant Holt to score ANYTIME                        @ 2/1               2 points

The Logic?

Bet 1 – The treble


A treble accumulator in the FA Cup is always a bit risky but I don’t believe too much in upsets when the quality for the favourites is there in abundance.

QPR may be struggling and Harry Redknapp may have other things on his mind than the FA Cup at the moment but the players he has at his disposal, throughout the squad, is good, far too good for where they sit in the Premier League.

This is the riskier pick for me based on the approach of the home side but I’m hoping Harry Redknapp lives up to my thoughts on him. If he does, I reckon QPR will romp it.

Harry is old school and he’ll respect the Cup. After all it’s his only major honour in football management and if QPR make it another stage and get another nice home draw he might start thinking, ‘hey, why not?’.


I do expect QPR to make changes but like I said previously, the quality will still be there and it should be far too much for a visiting MK Dons side.

The Don’s are writing their own history with every season they play and they’ll fancy upsetting QPR for a big chapter in their story. I can’t see it though and I fancy QPR to give them a bit of a hiding too.


If QPR approach this in the right way, which I expect them too under Redknapp, 5-0 is my prediction. Come 
on Harry, don’t let me down here.

Norwich City

Now this should be as straight forward as you like.

Norwich of the Premier League, 3/10 to win, host non league Luton Town. The hatters did a magic job of making it this far but going to Carrow Road is surely a step too far for them.

I fancy they’ll put up a right good scrap but Norwich are steady and Chris Hughton will not tolerate any inconsistencies or cockiness around his camp for this potential banana skin.

I reckon the home side will live up to their billing as hot favourites and smash Luton right out of the cup. 4-1 home win I say.


Arsenal, away at Championship Brighton. Risky one of the three many will think. Well I don’t.

Arsene Wenger is having a tough time this year and the FA Cup has probably become about ten times more significant to him after the League Cup shock at Bradford and their inconsistent league form.

Their recent thumping of West Ham though has just reaffirmed that the quality is there and when Arsenal want to turn it on, fuck me they can.

Arsenal have the players and they’ll be up against a team that will have a go at them in the right way, by playing football. Gus Poyet has got Brighton playing some attractive stuff and they’ll want to impose their game against a very good footballing side.

I think this will allow more room for Arsenal and the likes of Jack Wilshere and Santi Cazorla can murder teams at will with a bit of room.

I strongly fancy the gunners to turn Poyet’s men over on the south coast and give them a little footballing lesson at the same time.

Brighton are a good side and will be confident after dumping out Newcastle in the last round but Arsenal, on their day, can be devastating. I expect a strong Arsenal team and a strong performance. 1-3 is my prediction.

And there it is, your FA Cup treble @3.5/1

Bet 2 – The double

Now this was going to be Manchester United to win with Wayne Rooney to score anytime but the England striker has some fresh injury concerns so without knowing the extent of it I’ve had to bin the bet.

I’ll replace it by throwing some more eggs in the Norwich City basket.

I think Norwich will have a real rough ride in 2013 in terms of the Premier League and I reckon Chris Hughton will have some concerns over his side’s current decline in form.

This weekend will bring him a welcomed distraction. FA Cup fourth round at home to non league Luton Town.

Let the hand rubbing commence. Now Hughton will respect the challenge and like I’ve stated in bet 1, he’ll rid any overconfidence in his camp in order to win this one.

It’s a huge opportunity for Norwich to put a good cup run together and I fancy them to take it handsomely.

Added to that, if there’s anyone that won’t under estimate an opponent its skipper Grant Holt. He’s worked his way through the ranks on the football ladder and he’s just the bloke you want for a non league ding dong.

Back Norwich to win (@3/10) and double it up with Holt to score ANYTIME (8/11). I like the sound of this double @2/1.

Good luck, look out for free bet offers and bet responsibly!


Monday, 21 January 2013

The profit keeps on coming

After last weekend’s minimal profit, this weekend brought a bucket load of it.

3 singles were tipped and 3 singles came in. Ok the odds weren’t fabulous but that’s what you get for remaining concise.

Daniel Sturridge romped in, Manchester City won by the margin we predicted and even though we totally got the Newcastle result wrong, it was over 2.5 goals we were backing!

To those who got in on my super Sunday goals galore tip too, congratulations!

Greed is not a tactic we’re employing here though and as the Falcon only specialises in Premier League betting, FA Cup betting this weekend will be limited.

I’ll look into it though but will attack shyly.

Let’s save this profit for playing with in the next Premier League weekend.

Keep them peeled for a little cup flutter on Saturday.



Weekend Betting – 19.01.2013 – (3 singles. 7 points at stake)

Well last week saw 1 out of 3 come in but we ensured profit due to our 3 pointer. Let’s see what this weekend brings.

3 singles is what I’m going for, 3 singles alone. The 3 pointer is our main tip so if your punting more, go on that.

Daniel Sturridge – To score ANYTIME @8/11            2 points

Newcastle  v Reading – Over 2.5 goals @4/6  2 points

Manchester City v Fulham – Manchester City -1 handicap @8/11      3 points

The points are ranked 1-5. The greater the number, the greater the tip. Points are based on a £10 per point system and will act as a guide to the winnings accumulated.

The Logic?

Game 1 –

Liverpool are finding their feet under Brendan Rodgers and a home fixture with Norwich is just what the reds will want to really kick off a run in the Premier League.

Luis Suarez loves playing against Norwich but I’m looking at his strike partner Daniel Sturridge to shine in this one.

Sturridge is a real goal scorer when given the opportunity, something he demonstrated in abundance when on loan at Bolton a couple of season’s back. He’ll feel this is his chance to show how good a goal scorer he is and Liverpool will give him the platform to do so.

He’s already knocked in a couple and I fancy Liverpool to win and him to help them do so.

3-1 is my prediction but I fancy a Sturridge goal a lot more than that! 2 points for him to score ANYTIME @8/11

Game 2

Newcastle have hit a real rut at the moment and a home game to Reading must be a welcomed sight for ex Royals boss Alan Pardew.

Reading are awful on the road and I can see Newcastle really exploiting that. Papiss Cisse was magic in front of goal last year without Demba Ba and now has the chance to rekindle that form as the main front man.

Goals is the key here for me, 2-1 is my prediction but I don’t like the thought of backing Newcastle at the moment. Let’s reduce the risk and play for 2 points for Over 2.5 goals @4/6

Game 3

Ok then, the 3 pointer!

The Champions have been pretty underwealming this season by their standards. They’ve leaked goals and not really clicked into the gear that won them the title last term.

I fancy Fulham at home will see them back to comfortable ways though. The Cottagers don’t travel well and City will always have goals in them wherever they play.

I fancy a comfortable home win here and see the handicap market has good value.

2-0 is my prediction but feel it could be more. 3 points for Manchester City in the handicap market at -1 @8/11

Remember to bet responsibly and good luck!

Wednesday, 16 January 2013

A winner, not a big dinner

Weekend one produced profit, that’s the be all and end all.

From using our stake suggestions, last weekend paid us £57.27………….a profit of £2.27.

Using the Twitter hash tag #falconwinnersbigdinners would have been a tad insulting but hey, we are up, nothing has been lost and the bank balance still has a healthy glow.

Chelsea was our big tip away at Stoke, our 3 pointer. We stormed home with that one and if it wasn’t for Julio Cesar’s heroics in the early kick off at Loftus Road, I reckon that game would have had a different spin to it and we may well have hit 2 of the 3 tips.

The Villa game let us down. A Saints clean sheet on the road was not what we expected nor wanted. 0-1, not over 2.5 goals, bad times.

We move on though. 3 points from a possible 10 and we are in profit. Let’s keep it that way.

The weekend tips will be published before Saturday. Keep winning, however small, keep winning.

Thursday, 10 January 2013

Weekend Betting – 12.01.2013 – (3 singles, 1 double and a treble. 10 points at stake)

So here we go then, the Falcon’s first Premier League tips.
We don’t want to be like those other tipster’s who provide about 20 tips then when they hit a treble they boast about bashing bookies. At the end of the day if you throw enough shit, something will stick.
This is about thoughtful, concise betting that aims to lower your risk too. Steady profit is the key.
5 bets this weekend, 3 singles a double and a treble. I’ve calculated a suggested stake (£55) so to minimise your risk further.
The suggested stake is based on all 5 bets and is calculated so that if you match the Chelsea tip or any 2 of the 3 singles you’re in PROFIT!!
It’s a lower risk lower return approach but if we hit all 3 tips then over 5 bets you’ll win £143 (£88 profit).
£5 on QPR v Spurs – BTTS @8/13      2 points
£5 on Villa v Southampton – Over 2.5 goals @4/5      2 points
£10 on Double @3/1   2 points
£30 on Stoke v Chelsea – Away win @10/11  3 points
£5 on Treble @5/1       1 point
The points are ranked 1-5. The greater the number, the greater the tip. Points are based on a £10 per point system and will act as a guide to the winnings accumulated.
The Logic?
Game 1 – EARLY KO
QPR and Spurs is a huge fixture for Harry Redknapp. The fashion of his departure from the Lane will mean he’ll have a belly full of fire for this one and after guiding Rangers to a shock win at Stamford Bridge last time around, QPR will fancy a result here too.
Spurs have immense quality going forward and I can’t see them not scoring. They’re flying after a bit of a wobbly start under AVB and now look a real threat for a top 4 finish this season.
With the Redknapp factor, and the Taarbt one for that, I fancy QPR to give them a game at Loftus Road and perhaps nick a result, therefore both teams to score looks like the best bet here for me.
1-1  is my prediction but I’m not hanging my hat on that one! 2 points for BTTS @8/13
Game 2
Villa and Southampton is a huge fixture in all its entirety, probably made a little bigger after Villa’s shock defeat at Valley Parade on Tuesday night.
Both sides are struggling and both need the 3 points here. These sorts of games can go two ways. Cagy 0-0ers or an all out gung ho goal fest.
Both of these sides score goals, there’s no problem in that department, the reason these sides languish in the lower echelons of the division is the simple fact that they can’t defend.
With that reasoning I’m suggesting goals and think backing the over 2.5 goals is the safest bet here.
2-1 is my prediction but backing Villa is a bit risky this season, so let’s reduce that risk. 2 points for Over 2.5 goals @4/5
Game 3
Stoke and Chelsea is a tricky one to call.
The Potters are solid at home, unbeaten in the league at the Britannia and Chelsea, reeling from their shock defeat to neighbours QPR last time out, are desperate for a result to rekindle a title charge.
I think this weekend is a massive one for Chelsea.
With Man United hosting Liverpool and Man City travelling to Arsenal, Rafa Benitez will see this as a big opportunity that something above the blues could give. The League Cup defeat to Swansea on Wednesday night has just added even more significance to this fixture for them too.
I would go as far to say that Chelsea’s season almost hinges on this game.
With the quality Chelsea possess going forward I fancy them to breech the Stoke backline. Demba Ba I’d expect to start and score. Behind Van Persie he is undoubtedly the best goal scoring striker in the league and his statue will embrace a good ding dong with Stoke rather than repent it.
It’ll be close but I fancy Chelsea to edge this and am backing an away win.
1-2  is my prediction. 3 points for the away win @10/11
Remember to bet responsibly and good luck!

Monday, 7 January 2013

A new type of tipster – join the Falcon for some football betting success!

After some consistent betting success in the Premier League, I’ve decided to start my own blog and Twitter account so to share my tips and winnings and build up a bit of a following to hopefully increase some revenue in other avenues.

I’ll be blogging my Premier League betting tips, making profit with concise bets. I’ll be sensible with this though, only betting on Saturday’s prior to kick off and then on Sunday, but only in play. Join me on Twitter for ‘in-play Sunday’ and further tips @falcontips

My tips won’t just be posted like other tipsters, I’ll be applying and sharing my logic for each bet. You can read through this, agree and disagree with what you like but I’m sure something will hit home and tickle your fancy.

Just take one tip maybe? Profit is profit no matter how small.

So who fancies joining me? Tips will start this weekend, (12.01.2013) with in-play Sunday taking place a week later due to other commitments.

Follow me on Twitter @falcontips and let’s get our own winning hastag started hey? #falconwinnersbigdinners


See you there, let’s go get some winners!